Belarusian anti-government group BYPOL allegedly carried out the attack on an A-50 at the airfield near Minsk.
Hanna Liubakova, a Minsk journalist and non-resident fellow at the Atlantic Council think tank said that if Belarusian partisans had attacked the plane, it would present Belarus as"not safe" for the Russian army.
Despite repression in the country, there have been at least 80 acts of sabotage in Belarus since the war "Secondly, it is done to justify the Lukashenko regime's participation in the war against Ukraine," she added.
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