Nearly 70% of asset managers expect that a 20% correction is more likely than a 20% move higher in stocks, according to Citigroup's quarterly survey.
Since the last survey in March, the managers have shifted their view of who will win the White House. Former Vice President Joe Biden is now expected to win with 62% expecting it, a sharp reversal from December when 70% expected President Donald Trump to win. Views on who would win were split evenly in March.
The buy side managers also had an average weighted target for the S&P 500 that is nearly flat with current levels, at 3,027 for year end, but a third expect the index to close above 3,200. The managers also had a sharp change in views on the outlook for the dollar. About 60% now expect to see a weaker dollar, twice the number in March.
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