Unpredictability makes March Madness the most eagerly awaited month on the sporting calendar, for casual fans and purported experts alike.
The year is 1995 and the men’s basketball team is feeling pretty good about itself. The have won 17 of 19, are coming off a rout of top-seeded Connecticut in the Big East Conference championship game, and have received a No. 3 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The question entering their first-round game against 14th-seeded is not whether they will win, but by how much.
For instance, only once since the tournament expanded to 64 teams in 2008 have all four top seeds reached the Final Four in the same season, and three of the top seeds have advanced in the same year just four times. The fact that a No. 5 seed or lower has appeared in each of the last 10 Final Fours makes it almost as much fun attempting to identify that team in a given year as selecting which higher seeds will advance.
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