of rate hikes that might slow the economy." I mean literally, can the Fedto raise interest rates. It's a topic you're starting to hear more about lately.
of rate hikes that might slow the economy." I mean literally, can the Fedto raise interest rates. It's a topic you're starting to hear more about lately. And it's because the Fed's own exposure to interest rates has changed dramatically.
Just this morning, Jefferies issued its 2022 macro outlook. The firm's chief economist, Aneta Markowska, has been warning for months the Fed is behind the curve. She now thinks they will announce a faster taper next month that will end by March, followed by rate hikes in September and December. We all think about rate hikes as raising costs for households and businesses that borrow money, which they do. But now, the Fedis a major borrower! This shift goes back to the financial crisis. In 2008, for the first time, the Fed was allowed to pay interest on other banks' deposits. The point was to incentivize banks to return liquidity to the central bank "in order to avoid excessive money growth solely as a result of the temporary injection...
The only small problem with this is that the Fed doesn't have that much money sitting around. Its net income last year was only around $90 billion (specifically, $
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