Like many VPs before her, Harris is the subject of rumors that President Biden will drop her from the ticket. But there’s good reasons this rarely actually happens.
, which hinted that Hillary Clinton could replace him in the 2012 re-election run. Similar discussions cropped up around Mike Pence, Dick Cheney, and Dan Quayle. There are longtime claims that John Kennedy would have dropped Lyndon Johnson for his re-election run, and Dwight Eisenhower wanted to replace Richard Nixon.
But switching out VP on the ticket could present a very different story, with many strong downsides. It would make the president look both weak and disloyal. It would turn off any supporters of the vice president. And since Harris is a trailblazer in two key focus areas for Democrats, women and Black voters, dumping her from the ticket poses a legitimate danger for Democratic turnout.
Earlier in American history, presidents didn’t really choose the VP. The running mate was instead a compromise with the losing side in the presidential nomination, which itself was chosen not by the people but by convention delegates. The result was that presidents didn’t fear facing much blowback from a switch.
Unsurprisingly, the only president to drop a VP since WWII was the unelected Gerald Ford, who replaced the similarly unelected Nelson Rockefeller on the ticket with Kansas Sen. Bob Dole, and Ford’s decision was focused on warding off a primary challenge from the more conservative Ronald Reagan.
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