India: Risks to growth balanced or to the downside – Nomura India Growth CentralBanks Inflation
“We assume the RBI is committed to anchoring inflation closer to 4%, hence our view that upside inflation surprises, starting from April, will lead to a hawkish pivot. Our modified Taylor Rule estimates suggest policy“India's inflation to average 5.8% in FY23, sharply higher than central bank’s 4.5%. India policy repo rate has been maintained at record low 4% since May 2020 while rate setting panel has said it will remain accommodative as inflation is estimated to come off.
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