In Texas, midterm election watchers try to divine nation's political mood

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In Texas, midterm election watchers try to divine nation's political mood
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Texas Republican Gov. Greg Abbott easily bested a group of right-wing challengers to lock up his party’s nomination Tuesday, and will face Democrat Beto O’Rourke in November.

Republicans bet Texas' primaries will be the first step toward them retaking Congress in November, pointing to President Joe Biden’s low approval ratings, spiking inflation and anger about the chaotic withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan.

Govt-and-politics Live updates: Paxton forced into GOP runoff for Texas AG Govt-and-politics Texas primary sets up Abbott-O'Rourke race as midterms begin The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 1. Pennsylvania 2. Georgia 3. Wisconsin 4. Arizona 5. Nevada 6. North Carolina 7. New Hampshire 8. Florida 9. Ohio 10.

Still, the seat most likely to flip partisan control is the place where Democrats see the Supreme Court vacancy as having perhaps the biggest impact. That's not a new development: Pennsylvania has led the list since CNN started ranking the 2022 races nearly a year ago. But it speaks to the demographics Democrats need to turn out in the Keystone State -- their urban base and suburban voters.

As he resumes his campaign-style rallies, with a heavy focus on his 2020 election lies, Trump is signaling that he won't be sitting 2022 out quietly, even if he's not on the ballot. The jockeying for his support has already led to massive spending -- especially in Pennsylvania, where the GOP primary has attracted $18 million, mostly in December and January alone, according to a CNN analysis of AdImpact data.

Vulnerable Democratic incumbents on this list -- Sens. Mark Kelly, Catherine Cortez Masto, Maggie Hassan and Raphael Warnock -- all voted in favor of eliminating the filibuster to pass voting rights legislation. While taking that position has become a new litmus test of sorts in Democratic primaries , and some Republicans are attacking Democrats over it, it's far from clear that the fate of the 60-vote threshold is a salient issue for American voters.

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CNN projection: Greg Abbott will win the Texas gubernatorial Republican primaryCNN projection: Greg Abbott will win the Texas gubernatorial Republican primaryCNN PROJECTION: Greg Abbott will win the Texas gubernatorial Republican primary CNN PROJECTION: Beto O’Rourke will win the Texas gubernatorial Democratic primary
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Progressive Greg Casar Trounces Competition in Central Texas Congressional PrimaryProgressive Greg Casar Trounces Competition in Central Texas Congressional PrimaryWith what looks like about 60 percent of the vote, GregCasar beat his competition Tuesday evening in the Democratic primary for Texas’ Congressional District 35. gusbova reports:
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