In 36 hours, Ian blew up to Category 4. Climate change may make that more common

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In 36 hours, Ian blew up to Category 4. Climate change may make that more common
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Ian went from tropical storm to Category 4 monster in 36 hours. It's a dangerous phenomenon that climate change may make more common.

MIAMI — Before Hurricane Ian slammed into Florida's southwest coast with 155 mph winds, it went through two separate bursts of so-called"rapid intensification" when a cyclone's top wind speeds rise by 35 mph in a single day.

There are three main factors that lead to rapid intensification: warm waters, stable atmospheric conditions, and high humidity in the middle layers of the atmosphere. All three will be exacerbated by climate change. Oceans have absorbed about 90% of the heat from man-made climate change. A third of that heat has gone into surface waters, which have warmed, on average, 0.14 degrees Fahrenheit per decade since 1901, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration .

Vertical wind shear often acts as a stumbling block that prevents storms from intensifying. But researchers at Columbia University and NOAA predict that climate change will weaken vertical wind shear along the U.S. east coast, removing an obstacle for growing hurricanes. In less than 36 hours between Sunday night and Tuesday morning, National Hurricane Center bulletins show that Ian strengthened from a tropical storm with 60 mph winds into a Category 3 hurricane with 125 mph winds.

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