ASH Regan is either a fool or a hero, depending on which faction of the independence movement you ask. At the Alba Party conference at the weekend,…
Reaction to the news was so predictable it could have been scripted. The SNP were keen to paint the loss of one of its former ministers and former leadership hopeful as insignificant.Alba remain a minority party and its dire polling ratings haven’t shown much improvement in the wake of the SNP’s recent woes. But the derision we’ve seen towards their former party representative runs the risk of looking like ignorance to the extent of their current problems.
Humza Yousaf’s decision to characterise Regan’s defection as “not a particularly great loss” was, I think, a mistake. Both personally and politically, it may very well be the First Minister’s honest assessment of the news but as the leader of the SNP and a figurehead of the independence movement, warm wishes might have served him better.Not electorally, of course. While the party is no doubt facing challenges, there is nothing to suggest it is heading for a total wipeout at the next election.
The risk for the SNP isn’t that Alba have a stratospheric rise in popularity and become the dominant force in pro-indy politics; it is that they do enough in the years ahead to become an established party that has a chance of picking up list seats. Momentum is important in politics. Since he has settled into the role, he has undoubtedly become more agile and confident. But the next two elections will be a critical moment for the long-term fortunes of the SNP.
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