It took three games for Major League Baseball to be hit with a coronavirus outbreak. So what now?
It took three days. Three days, at least 13 positive COVID-19 tests in one Major League Baseball clubhouse. During the first week of the MLB season, the coronavirus spread through the Miami Marlins. Players have been quarantined, and their next two games postponed. Monday’s game between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies – Miami’s opponent on opening weekend – was also postponed.
“Yeah,” says Jared Baeten, an epidemiologist at the University of Washington. “If it was one player, totally different. But clearly, to get to 13, there are not 13 separate introductions [of the virus] into the Marlins organization. There is transmission within the team. And if there is transmission in the team, there's great chance that there is still unrecognized transmission within the team.
What about the Phillies, Miami’s opponent?That’s the other big question. What are the chances that Marlins, some of whom participated in games while COVID-positive, infected Phillies this past weekend? Did postponing Monday’s Phillies-Yankees game make sense?Two reasons given for Monday’s postponement were the possibility that Phillies players had contracted the virus, and the fact that the Yankees would be entering a clubhouse that the infectious Marlins had occupied less than 24 hours earlier.“The virus can survive on inert surfaces,” Waldman says, but “usually it's a matter of hours.
“Correct,” Bachynski says. “Our current understanding is, 4-5 days after exposure is when you tend to be the most contagious.”Should MLB let the Phillies keep playing?If Monday’s game was postponed, it would follow that Tuesday’s, Wednesday’s and Thursday’s should be as well. Why haven’t they been? 2. MLB’s protocols weren’t strong enough to prevent one or more Marlins from spreading the virus to others; and/or
The league, Binney says, needs to conduct a “swift but thorough epidemiological investigation to figure out what the heck happened.”
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