How Florida turned red: Changing population, weak opposition, aggressive Gov. Ron DeSantis

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How Florida turned red: Changing population, weak opposition, aggressive Gov. Ron DeSantis
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While a Republican red wave missed most of the nation this election season, it washed over Florida powered by energy from shifting demographics, a dysfunctional Democratic Party and Gov. Ron DeSantis.

New arrivals, new Republicans

While the influx of new voters is a key factor, there’s also upheaval within the Florida electorate. Yet Florida also is a state that has long had a demographic primed for the Make America Great Again movement spawned by Trump, which has made inroads with working-class voters.The state’s economy is based on lower wage workers in the service industry. According to Census data, 33.2% of Floridians age 25 or older had a bachelor’s degree or higher in 2021, ranking the state 26th for educational attainment.

“Trump brought in all these new people,” Filipkowski said. “But the problem for the Republican Party is they’re loyal to Trump. DeSantis is probably the only person out there who has the dual loyalty where that same group of people, and these are largely noncollege people, DeSantis is the only one who seems to get the support of those people.”

DeSantis flipped Miami-Dade County and Osceola County, another heavily Hispanic community of mostly Puerto Ricans, from blue to red this year. Charlie Crist’s $32 million in fundraising was dwarfed by DeSantis’ nearly $200 million. AdImpact estimates that $72.5 million was spent on television ads in the race, with $54.6 million of that supporting DeSantis.

CNN political analyst and former Miami-based Republican strategist Ana Navarro-Cárdenas offered more blunt assessment. and CNN following the midterms. Possibly the greatest accomplishment of the Florida GOP this cycle was achieving a voter registration advantage over Democrats for the first time in state history.

DeSantis has positioned himself as a successful culture warrior, tending toward a combative, autocratic form of leadership. It seems to play with many voters — at least in Florida. The bill prohibits teaching about sexual orientation or gender identity in kindergarten through third grade. But opponents saw it aimed as a swipe at LGBTQ students at all grade levels, and intended to quash any attempts by schools to acknowledge these students. “National Democrats adopted this “Don’t Say Gay,” scorched earth — it can be interpreted no other way than bigotry. But that’s not how many Florida voters viewed it,” Teixeira said, calling it “pretty popular” among many voters.

“He allows the working parents to go out there and make a living which keeps the entire economy moving,” Gruters said of DeSantis.

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