Are cities now at risk of losing the superstar status they’ve enjoyed over the past several decades?
People walk along 6th Avenue in midtown Manhattan on Dec. 26, 2018 in New York City. Photo: Gary Hershorn/Getty Images By Irving Wladawsky-Berger Jul 3, 2020 10:18 am ET Knowledge-intensive industries have long been centered in cities and surrounding metropolitan areas, where they’ve had the most access to a college educated, high skill workforce. But from Milan to New York, high density, globally connected urban areas have been ground zero for the spread of Covid-19.
The results also scale with population, but instead of following a sublinear .85 scaling factor, socioeconomic attributes scale exponentially, with a superlinear factor of 1.15. That means that if you double the population of a city, there will be a roughly 15% increase in productivity, wages, entertainment and educational institutions, and so on.
What’s next? How will Covid-19 transform urban life? Opinions abound, but it’s still too early to tell. In How Life in Our Cities Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic, Foreign Policy asked 12 leading urban planning experts for their predictions. Let me briefly summarize a few of their key points.
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