Where the intrigue comes in is how the central bank proceeds from here.
None of those figures are satisfactory for Fed officials.
"The focus will be on revisions to the forward guidance in its statement," Goldman economist David Mericle said in a client note. "We expect the Committee to signal that it anticipates pausing in June but retains a hawkish bias, stopping earlier than it initially envisioned because bank stress is likely to cause a tightening of credit.
Sticky prices increased 6.6% annually in March and have been generally on the rise, while "flexible price CPI" increased just 1.6% and has declined precipitously since peaking at 19.7% in March 2022. Sticky prices include housing. "The center of the committee acknowledges the unknown macroeconomic effect of credit tightening, keeping the potential need for further rate hikes on the table," Hollenhurt added. "And recent data have not been comforting regarding bringing inflation under control."
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