Scottish independence has become a long game. Where does that leave the SNP?
IN JUNE 2022 Nicola Sturgeon, then first minister of Scotland and leader of the Scottish National Party , proposed that the country would hold a second independence referendum on October 19th 2023. Since then much has gone wrong for Ms Sturgeon, the SNP and the dream of independence that is the party’s raison d’être. At its annual conference in Aberdeen this week, far from looking to the sunlit uplands of secession members seemed to be gathered under lowering clouds.
This new strategy is meant to be a show of strength: the SNP has long told nationalists that its electoral success will force a referendum. In fact it is an admission of weakness. Polls suggest the party is heading for heavy losses. It has 43 seats at Westminster, out of Scotland’s current 59, but after Labour’s big win in Rutherglen, it is expected to lose between 20 and 40. Its ploy would not work anyway.
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