Democrats turning out to vote, and Republicans staying home, could play a significant factor in the 2022 midterm elections.
in the Republican-leaning 19th Congressional District against Marc Molinaro, a moderate Republican considered to be one of the National Republican Campaign Committee's top prospects in its bid to gain control of the House next year.
NY-19 Democratic Congressional candidate Pat Ryan, seen above, defeated Republican Marc Molinaro in a district many saw as a bellwether of voter attitudes around abortion.Democratic enthusiasm has had a lot to do with it.
But the bigger story, the data suggests, is increasingly anemic turnout among the rural Republican base in a number of key races around the country, signaling potential a potential enthusiasm gap among Republicans entering the final months of the midterm elections. In NY-19, the drop-off in Republican votes paired with a rise in Democratic votes from 2020 arguably pushed Ryan over the finish line there, while the race in NE-01 earlier this year—a district Trump won by 15 points in 2020—saw a significant decline in turnout among the district's most rural and conservative counties.
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