Gold Price Forecast: US CPI Sparks Next Leg Lower - Levels for XAU/USD

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Gold Price Forecast: US CPI Sparks Next Leg Lower - Levels for XAU/USD
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Gold prices are barely holding above 1700 after the August US inflation report surprised markets. The US Dollar (via the DXY Index) rebound, alongside higher US Treasury yields and US real yields, is weighing on gold prices.

Historically, gold prices have a relationship with volatility unlike other asset classes. While other asset classes like bonds and stocks don’t like increased volatility – signaling greater uncertainty around cash flows, dividends, coupon payments, etc. – gold tends to benefit during periods of higher volatility. Gold volatility is turning higher again, and in the context of higher US yields and a stronger US Dollar, it remains a headwind for gold prices in the near-term.

The longer-term view remains unchanged as no significant progress has been made on the weekly timeframe: “a double top remains in place, but a quadruple bottom around 1680 warrants a reconsideration: a massive sideways range between 1680 and 2075 may have formed. A bounce from 1680 sees 1800 as the first area before resistance is found.

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