GBP/USD extends post-UK CPI decline, flirts with 1.2400 mark amid modest USD strength

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GBP/USD extends post-UK CPI decline, flirts with 1.2400 mark amid modest USD strength
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GBP/USD extends post-UK CPI decline, flirts with 1.2400 mark amid modest USD strength By HareshMenghani GBPUSD Inflation Brexit Fed Currencies

Having failed to conquer the 1.2500 psychological mark, the GBP/USD pair witnessed aggressive selling on Wednesday and snapped a three-day winning streak to a two-week high. The British pound weakened across the board after data released from the UK showed that the headline CPI soared to a 40-year high level of 9% in April. Given that the UK economic activity had slowed sharply during the first quarter, the data further fueled stagflation fears.

In the latest developments, the British government on Tuesday announced a bill that would effectively override parts of a Brexit deal. The European Commission had pledged to respond with all measures at its disposal if Britain moves ahead with a plan to rewrite the NI protocol. Investors now fear that the legislation could trigger a trade war in the middle of a surge in the cost of living, which would take its toll on the UK economy and validate the Bank of England's gloomy outlook.

With the latest leg down, the GBP/USD pair has eroded a major part of the overnight gains. That said, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that the recent bounce from the 1.2155 region, or the lowest level since May 2020 has run its course and placing aggressive bearish bets.

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