Gaza fallout could see strategic reset in the Middle East

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Gaza fallout could see strategic reset in the Middle East
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ALREADY the bombardment and power blackouts are taking a terrible toll.

Newborn babies in incubators. The elderly on oxygen. Those desperately in need of kidney dialysis or X-rays to be taken. Then there are those thousands injured by airstrikes and rockets, struggling for their lives in intensive care units.

“All hospitals are now reliant on diesel and generators, but fuel will eventually run out,” Abu Sittah confirmed. Just before midnight local time on ­Thursday, Israel’s military made its ­intention clear, telling the United ­Nations that the whole of ­Northern Gaza, home to roughly 1.1 million people, should be evacuated within 24 hours.

The strikes have also hit another 70 schools run by the Palestinian Authority , said the UN Office for the Co-ordination of Humanitarian Affairs. One of the most densely populated places in the world, Gaza has no bunkers or shelters to protect civilians from bombardment.On Friday, the response from the UN and humanitarian organisations to ­Israel’s ultimatum was both quick and unequivocal in its condemnation.

For its part, Israel has said that there will be no humanitarian break to its siege of Gaza until all its hostages, who are among an estimated 150 people – ­including ­foreign nationals – seized by Hamas during its raids last weekend, are freed. These include ­children, women and older people who Hamas claims to be detaining in the network of tunnels the group has constructed over years to ­smuggle weapons, munitions and other supplies from neighbouring Egypt.

With Israel controlling the Erez ­Crossing – also known as the Beit Hanoun Crossing – between Gaza and Israel in the north and Egypt controlling the Rafah crossing to the south, these are Gazans’ only exits to the outside world. Writing on Friday, Hearst ­reminded readers that almost from the moment ­Israel responded to Hamas’s raid on ­Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin ­Netanyahu made one promise that has almost ­entirely escaped attention, when he told the mayors of southern border towns that Israel’s response would “change the ­Middle East”.

“This is the greatest number of ­reserves called up in the history of the ­country. Could it be that the Israeli ­leader and others in the country have a ­bigger plan in mind and if so what might it ­entail?” asked Hearst. While the Biden administration seems determined to set up a so-called ­“humanitarian corridor” for Palestinian civilians in Gaza to flee to Egypt, Cairo is signalling that it will not accept a ­solution that forces Palestinians to leave Gaza without any hope of return.

These security concerns are doubly worrying for Cairo since Hamas and ­other groups in Gaza have links to ­militants in Sinai. Economically, too, Egypt is under the cosh of a worsening crisis and struggling with an influx of 280,000 refugees from neighbouring Sudan, where a civil war began in April. Whether Hezbollah will act remains to be seen and some military analysts believe they could be waiting for Israel’s complete commitment to a Gaza ­invasion before fully moving into action in ­southern ­Lebanon. A key factor in that decision will also be the thinking behind Hezbollah’s patron, Iran, and any plans it might have to widen the regional conflict.

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