From rice to palm oil, Asian crops output forecast lower as El Nino strengthens

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From rice to palm oil, Asian crops output forecast lower as El Nino strengthens
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SINGAPORE: An unusually dry August has taken a toll on cereal and oilseed crops in Asia as El Nino intensified, and forecasts for lower rainfall in September are further threatening to disrupt supplies. While wheat output forecasts are being revised lower due to dry weather in Australia, the world's second

SINGAPORE: An unusually dry August has taken a toll on cereal and oilseed crops in Asia as El Nino intensified, and forecasts for lower rainfall in September are further threatening to disrupt supplies.

While wheat output forecasts are being revised lower due to dry weather in Australia, the world's second largest exporter, record-low monsoon rains are expected to reduce the volume of crops, including rice, in India, the world's biggest shipper of the grain, meteorologists and analysts said. Insufficient rains in Southeast Asia, meanwhile, could dent supplies of palm oil, the world's most widely used vegetable oil, while extreme weather in top corn and soybean importer China is putting food output at risk.

"We are in full-blown El Nino weather in several parts of the world and it is going to intensify towards the end of the year," said Chris Hyde, a meteorologist at US–based Maxar Technologies, a climate data analytics platform.El Nino is a warming of Pacific waters which typically results in drier conditions over Asia and excessive rains in parts of North and South America.

"The impact of El Nino is much greater than we had anticipated," said a senior India Meteorological Department official."This month is going to end with a deficit of over 30 per cent, marking it as the driest August on record. El Nino will also affect September's rainfall."

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