Fed's December minutes contained less new information than initially thought, says FHN Financial's Chris Low. He and others say yields are set to move higher...
In a somewhat sedate next-day reaction to the Federal Reserve’s December meeting minutes, bond traders took in the notion of a more aggressive Federal Reserve prepared to swiftly abandon easy policy.
Not even Thursday’s remarks by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Jim Bullard, who said the first rate hike could come as soon as March, caused much of a ripple in markets. Meanwhile, analysts continued to brace for the likelihood of higher Treasury yields in 2022. FHN Financial sees Treasury yields continuing to rise, with the 10-year rate TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.727% climbing to as high as 1.85% by year-end, the 30-year rate TMUBMUSD30Y, 2.083% at 1.92%, and the 5-year rate TMUBMUSD05Y, 1.470% at 1.7%, Low said.
“In general, despite the perception of yesterday’s FOMC minutes, the nominal bond market’s reaction today has been very muted as we await tomorrow’s payroll number,” Faranello said.
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