Fed: Clear signs of a possible smaller hike in December are still unlikely – BBVA – by MSalordFX Fed Banks
. A 75 basis points rate hike is priced in. According to the Research Department at BBVA, all eyes on hints of a potential downshift in tightening pace.“Given that a super-sized hike is a done deal, the focus will be on hints on what will drive a slowdown in the pace of hikes.
“We think that a shift to a slower pace of hikes and then the decision to end the tightening cycle will depend on labor market data. With inflation set to remain quite high in the short term, and underlying inflation pointing to stickiness ahead, what will drive the Fed to slow the hiking cycle will be signals that the labor market is on a pace of rebalancing.
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