EUR/USD Forecast: Demand for safety means a retest of the year low at 1.1120

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EUR/USD Forecast: Demand for safety means a retest of the year low at 1.1120
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Euro gains bearish strength but needs to break the 1.1300 support level EUR EURUSD $EUR $EURUSD

US markets were closed due to a local holiday, stocks futures are sharply down.treads water just above the 1.1300 level, down on Monday. The pair started the day with strength, approaching the 1.1400 threshold before turning south during London trading hours amid continued weakness among global stocks. The sour mood is directly linked to mounting tensions in Eastern Europe, as West nations suspected an imminent invasion of the Ukrainian Donbass territory by Russia.

Asian and European indexes closed in the red, while US futures edged lower, hinting at persistent risk-aversion in the upcoming sessions. Markit published the preliminary estimates of its February PMIs for the EU. The services sector posted a nice comeback with the German index up to 56.6 and that of the EU printing at 55.8. The manufacturing PMI in both economies came in below expected but well above the 50 level that divides contraction from economic expansion. Germany unveiled the January Producer Price Index, which was up 2.2% MoM and 25% YoY, surpassing the market’s expectations.

The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is now below a congestion of moving averages, which lack directional strength as technical indicators gain bearish traction within negative levels, skewing the risk to the downside without confirming it. A break through the 1.1300 figure should open the door for a steeper decline, moreover, if the downbeat mood persists.

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