Here’s our pick for Wednesday’s English Premier League match between West Ham United and Leeds United.
After two terrific seasons, West Ham United finds itself in a surprising relegation fight as we head into the second half of the 2022-23campaign. The Hammers have taken just 14 points from their first 17 matches and entered the week ahead of Nottingham Forest on goal difference.
But West Ham’s actual record is a bit misleading. Although they are just 4-2-11 with a -9 goal differential, the Hammers sport a +1.6 expected goal differential, which is the eighth-best mark in the circuit. According to UnderStat, West Ham’s xG differential should have them sitting on 23 points. Some positive regression is to be expected.English Premier League prediction
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