ECB preview: could markets and/or politics disrupt the ECB’s soft landing?

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ECB preview: could markets and/or politics disrupt the ECB’s soft landing?
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Anatoli Annenkov of Société Générale notes that threats to the Eurozone's 'soft landing' economic outlook loom over the horizon, as well as upside ris

Anatoli Annenkov of Société Générale notes that threats to the Eurozone's "soft landing" economic outlook loom over the horizon, as well as upside risks to inflation. On Our Minds: Euro Area Having mainly used the short-term policy rate to tighten policy, the increases seen at the long end of the yield curve since the last meeting seem increasingly important for the ECB...

The Bund was up by nearly 40bp until early October, driven by a combination of a supply/demand mismatch, inflation concerns and fears of ‘higher-for-longer’. The rise, and risk of further increases, in long-term yields is likely to quell calls for more policy tightening in the near term. Moreover, data have mostly supported the planned pause in tightening.

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