Disruptive innovation's like a party. It's always happening elsewhere
A more general explanation along the same lines is what the study calls the low-hanging fruit idea. In the early days of any discipline, there are lots of big ideas to explore. After they've gone, the structure of the field is set in place and disruption becomes much more unlikely. A corollary of this is the rapid expansion of science and technology fields once they're proved fruitful – the same data sets that the study looked at also show that there was about.
The first clue is that the reality of science, even more so technology, is not defined by papers and patents. Many enormously significant innovations – Berners-Lee's WWW, Google's Page ranking – escape analysis by not depending on peer review or the legal protection of patents. They show up and they change the world on their own terms. They certainly rely on earlier ideas, just not in a formulaic framework.
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