A coronavirus model is forecasting that there will be more than 201,000 total deaths in the United States by October 1
A worker pushes the coffin of Francia Nelly, from Ecuador, who died of complications related to Covid-19 inside the crematory after her funeral at the St. John Cemetery in Queens on June 5 in New York. Johannes Eisele/AFP/Getty Images
Last week, the model, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, predicted 170,000 deaths for this same time period. The model was often cited by the White House early in the pandemic and is one of 19 models currently featured on the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website.
Daily deaths are expected to decrease through June and July and remain relatively stable through August, but the model forecasts a sharp rise in deaths through September. IHME has also said that it looks at other factors in making the model, including the numbers of people who wear masks, air pollution figures, testing, pneumonia trends and population density, among other factors.
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