As modelers look at national trends, they're concerned about case jumps in areas that had previously managed to largely squelch the virus.
People walk the boardwalk on July 3 in Wildwood, New Jersey, after some coronavirus restrictions were lifted. There's concern that case counts could push back up in Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern states.People walk the boardwalk on July 3 in Wildwood, New Jersey, after some coronavirus restrictions were lifted. There's concern that case counts could push back up in Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern states.For weeks the U.S.
And, he adds,"we are now seeing a clear resurgence in the Philadelphia area and [surrounding] counties. We're starting to see upticks in the shore regions of New Jersey. And we're actually seeing some elevated [transmission rates] every week in the New York City boroughs." "When your case counts have been degraded for a while, a doubling [of the numbers] doesn't look as impressive." says Rubin."But those doublings are there."
"I saw areas in the Northeast wait an extra week or two — to great frustration of residents — because they weren't satisfied they had degraded their counts enough," says Rubin."So it was reopening later but also [doing so] more cautiously and slowly that helped these areas." "What you saw was major traffic going to some of these vacation destinations like Galveston, Texas. And you could very clearly see within a couple of weeks, the conferred risk not just to Galveston but back up to Houston as people came and went between these major metro areas to their vacation destinations."
Rubin says he's seen it firsthand."I spent a lot of time in upstate New York, and the campsites throughout the Adirondack region are packed right now because there's nothing to do in the cities. So there's a lot of spreading out going on this summer, and that is just increasing the amount of mixing that people are doing."
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