Heading into a critical Week 7, Heather Dinich picks the CFP field of 12 and the eight teams on the bubble, then ranks the best of the Group of 5.
It was the first time since 2016 that five of the top 11 teams ranked in the Associated Press poll lost on the same day. And it was the first time -- ever -- that multiple top-five SEC teams lost against unranked opponents.The 13 members of the College Football Playoff selection committee have bad losses and teams with multiple losses to consider -- and the picture will keep changing. One thing that won't change:on Sept. 28.
The Longhorns moved into the top spot following Alabama's loss to Vanderbilt on Saturday, earning the No. 1 seed as the SEC champion and the highest-ranked conference champion. This is also based on Texas potentially being the committee's No. 1 team overall on Selection Day. According to the Allstate Playoff Predictor, Texas has a 91% chance to reach the CFP and a 23% shot to win the national title.
The Buckeyes would earn the No. 2 seed as the projected Big Ten champs and the second-ranked conference champion, behind only Texas. This week, the top two seeds mirror the committee's top two because both Texas and Ohio State are projected conference champions. It won't always shake out that way. According to ESPN Analytics, Ohio State has the best chance to win out , followed by Texas .
The Canes would earn this seed as the ACC champions and the third-ranked conference champ. Miami avoided a disastrous scenario Saturday with its comeback win at Cal. Because of that, Miami is now No. 2 in the country in ESPN's strength of record metric, which shows that the average CFP contender would have a 38% chance of achieving the same record against the same opponents.
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