Michigan and Penn State have two of the nation’s best defenses, and points could be at a premium during Saturday’s matchup.
Michigan’s defense hopes to keep Penn State at bay, as the Wolverines did this season against Indiana. This column will give out four picks per week: the game of the week, a favorite, an underdog and a wild card, which can be anything . Hopefully we’ll all be in good shape by the time the clock hits zero at the national championship game in Houston on Jan. 8.
, and Michigan is No. 2. In terms of expected points allowed per play, that is reversed: The Wolverines are No. 1, and the Nittany Lions are No. 2.Those defenses will go up against at least partially flawed offenses. Penn State quarterback Drew Allar struggles to complete longer throws, and the Nittany Lions have had just 18 pass plays gain at least 20 yards .
Likewise, Michigan’s running game has struggled of late: The Wolverines have not exceeded 3.9 yards per carry in their past three games. Those contests were against Indiana, Michigan State and Purdue, teams not known for having particularly stout rushing defenses. Penn State is allowing just 60.3 rushing yards per game and two yards per carry, which both trail only James Madison nationally.
It’s unknown who will play quarterback for Arizona State on Saturday , and UCLA isn’t exactly the team you want to face with question marks at the sport’s most important position. The Bruins’ defense is roughly on par with Utah’s, which is to say it’s very good. Even in this past weekend’s 27-10 letdown against surging Arizona, UCLA managed three sacks; it’s averaging 3.8, which trails only James Madison and Penn State.
As you can see from the chart Fleming compiled for Texas-TCU, the Longhorns and Horned Frogs rank in the top 20 in terms of generating productive drives: 52.9 percent of Texas’s drives have been considered productive, with TCU’s offense right behind at 52.8 percent. But both teams are absolutely dismal when it comes to generating points from those drives. Texas gets 3.13 points per Eckel drive, which ranks 104th nationally. TCU is a little better at 3.
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