The Biden administration says China wants a sphere of influence in Asia—and perhaps to become the world’s leading power
heard the Chinese say that they want to overthrow the international order,” observes a senior Western official who has spent hours with the country’s leaders. “On the other hand, they are putting their pieces all over the board.” The question of the age, he ventures, is whether China will play by rules that other powers can accept.
Wu Xinbo, dean of the Institute of International Studies and head of American studies at Fudan University, cautions against overly literal lessons from history. “The tributary system was a Sino centric, hierarchical structure. In today’s world it would be very difficult to revive,” he says. Rather, he sees China as guided by another ancient principle,, or a quest for harmonious relations with countries that do not share the same culture.
China’s overseas propaganda has expanded. Across the world, local reporters have been hired by such outlets as China Global Television News, or offered Chinese training. Chinese media distribute content free via partnership deals from Tanzania to Italy to the Philippines.
China’s bilateral influence-building is disruptive to the world order in two main ways. First, China has a genius for spotting countries unhappy with the international status quo, and looking for an alternative. Such balancing does not always undermine norms: when Central Asian countries consider a Chinese-built cargo railway to offset dependence on Russia, they are swapping one autocracy for another.
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