Fragile market sentiment due to the Ukraine war may bolster USD/CAD in the coming days despite decade-high oil prices, but any de-escalation of the crisis will be bullish for CAD. Get your weekly Canadian Dollar forecast from DColmanFX here:
Under normal circumstances, the hawkish tone adopted by the BoC would have been enough to push USD/CAD lower, but with the Ukraine war on everyone's mind, this has not happened. In a context of increasing geopolitical risks, the pair is unlikely to, on the contrary, it could go higher in the short term on episodes of flight to safety.
However, it is important to keep in mind that any de-escalation in the military conflict in Eastern Europe maypaving the way for a sharp sell-off in USD/CAD., especially after failing to break, the first resistance to watch out for appears at last week's high around 1.2878, although a move above this level mayOn the other hand, if USD/CAD pivots to the downside, support is seen near the
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