Can President Trump win reelection despite the coronavirus outbreak? - SteveKornacki
Almost overnight, though, Carter's approval soared to 54 percent, a level he hadn’t reached in nearly two years. And he vaulted into a solid lead over Kennedy in the Democratic race.
American public opinion was deeply divided. Vietnam was a fresh memory and many feared another bloody quagmire. The Senate vote to authorize war was narrow, 52 to 47. Bush’s domestic standing had been weakening too, with a recession underway, and he'd recently broken his"Read my lips!" anti-tax pledge.
And yet, there was still the matter of the recession. The revelry died down in the summer of 1991, and by the fall, Bush's approval rating was in the 50s. By the end of the year it was under 50. And by the summer of 1992, after five straight months of rising unemployment, it cratered at 29 percent. There were signs of economic life by Election Day, but it was too little, too late to save Bush, who finished with just 38 percent of the vote in a three-way race with Bill Clinton and Ross Perot.
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