All season, the top two picks in this year's NBA Draft have seemed certain. But the Scoot Henderson-Brandon Miller conversation has become real over the last few weeks. Sam_Vecenie on how Alabama's star has put himself in the mix to be the No. 2 pick.
Essentially, Miller has turned what were perceived to be weaknesses early in the season into strengths. He looks like the kind of prototype bigger wing creator who can defend at a reasonable level who teams covet across the league. Every NBA team I talk to is trying to find guys with plus positional size, athleticism, shooting ability and basketball IQ. Miller ticks some of those boxes more than others, but he doesn’t take anything off of the table in any one of those categories either.
All of this is why Miller has moved into the conversation at No. 2. This isn’t to say he’ll go higher than Henderson, but it will depend on the team that gets the pick now. It also has helped Miller that Henderson put together arguably his worst month in two years with the Ignite program post-All-Star break. In those eight games, Henderson averaged just 14.9 points while shooting 39 percent from the field and 27 percent from 3. Within that stretch, Henderson also averaged 7.
What is a bit more concerning is that Henderson, an elite athlete with power and physicality to spare in a shredded 6-foot-2 frame featuring a 6-foot-9 wingspan and enormous hands, took 93 shots at the rim in the half court versus 149 midrange jumpers this season. Too often, Henderson seemed comfortable to just get into that midrange area and fire up a 15-footer from the elbows.
You can certainly make the case that Henderson, playing on an NBA-spaced court, should have an easier time getting to the rim. But there are real caveats there. The Ignite are not a team that shoots the ball well. They take the fewest 3s per game in the G League. The team tries to stick Henderson to elite shooting 2012 first-round pick John Jenkins in lineup combinations, but he’s really the only guy providing any space out there.
To me, it seems like Henderson has things in neutral right now. There are moments when he decides to truly dominate. But more often than not when watching him, it seems like we’re watching an ultra competitor who has nothing to actually compete for. Nobody cares if the G League Ignite wins or loses. Henderson’s been told he’s locked into the No. 2 overall pick in the 2023 draft for over a year.
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