Black Sea Disruptions, Oil Prices Threaten Kazakhstan's Growth

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Black Sea Disruptions, Oil Prices Threaten Kazakhstan's Growth
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The World Bank predicts stable economic growth for Kazakhstan in the next few years, but stresses the need for reforms to improve long-term prosperity.

Kazakhstan is expected to remain on a stable growth trajectory for the next two years, driven by continued carbon use and increased consumer spending, according to World Bank projections. At the same time, the bank suggests a new reform approach is needed to improve prosperity. The bank outlined Kazakhstan’s prospects in a recently published report, titled Preparing for Tomorrow Reform for Long-Term Prosperity.

The government wants to trim this deficit over the medium term, while maintaining adequate financial reserves, according to the report. Increased demand for imports and lower export earnings due to falling oil prices led to a current account deficit of about 3.3 percent of GDP in 2023. The current account deficit is projected to remain in the same range – at 3.0 percent of GDP this year and 2.3 percent of GDP in 2025.

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