BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes is convinced that Bitcoin price will hit $750,000 to $1 million by 2026.
Love him or hate him, when Arthur Hayes speaks, people listen.“I absolutely agree that there is going to be a major financial crisis, probably as bad or worse than the great depression, sometime near the end of the decade, before we get there we’re gonna have, I think, the largest bull market in stocks, real estate, crypto, art, you name it, that we’ve ever seen since WW2.”
“We all have collectively agreed that the government is there essentially to attempt to remove the business cycle. Like, there should never be bad things that happen to the economy and if there are, we want the government to come in and destroy the free market. So every time we’ve had a financial crisis over the past 80 years. What happens? The government rushes in and they essentially destroy some part of the free market because they want to save the system.
Hayes expects a “massive top” at some point in 2026, followed by a great depression-like situation occurring by the end of the decade.When asked about future contributors to inflation, Hayes zoned in on the $7.75 trillion in US debt that must be rolled over by 2026 and the yield curve inversion in US bonds.
The largest concern expressed by Hayes is “at a structural level, the US banking system cannot buy more debt, because it cannot afford to because it is structurally insolvent. The Federal Reserve has committed to doing quantitative tightening, so it's not accumulating more treasuries.” Coming into 2024, Hayes said either a financial crisis will push rates closer to 0% or the government keeps raising rates, but not as fast as governments spend money and people continue looking for better returns elsewhere.
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