Forecasters say we'll likely see 13 to 19 named storms this season, of which six to 10 may become hurricanes.
Wilfredo Lee/APseason is now underway, and there's a 60% chance of an above-normal season, according to forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
There's a 30% chance of a near-normal season and just a 10% chance of a below-normal season, according to NOAA.Forecasters say we'll likely see 13 to 19 named storms this season, of which six to 10 may become hurricanes -- which means they'll be strong enough to reach winds of 74 mph or higher. Of those, three to six are forecast to become major hurricanes, with Category 3, 4 or 5 strength -- which means they'll have winds of 111 mph or higher.Wilfredo Lee/AP
An average hurricane season has 12 named storms, including six that become hurricanes and three major hurricanes.Several factors are contributing to this forecast: El Nino conditions are expected to be neutral or to trend toward La Nina, meaning El Nino won't be present to subdue hurricanes, NOAA said.
If this season is above-normal, this would mark the fifth consecutive year for an above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin -- setting a record. The old record was four years in a row of above-normal seasons, which ran from 1998 to 2001.
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