With battery prices dropping, EVs could hit price parity with could hit price parity with fossil-fuel cars in Europe in 2024 and the U.S. market in 2026.
EV sales in the European Union jumped almost 61% in July versus the same month in 2022, accounting for 13.6% of all car sales.The United States has not yet committed to a date for ending sales of combustion engine models, but California and New York are both targeting 2035 to switch to selling only zero-emission models.
"It's not radical whatsoever to see the continued exponential growth of electric vehicles," RMI's Bond told Reuters."This is what one should expect." According to the RMI research, oil demand for cars peaked in 2019 and will fall by at least 1 million barrels per day every year after 2030. Research released concurrently from Exeter University's Economics of Energy Innovation and System Transition project also predicts exponential growth in EV sales.
It suggests EVs will reach a"tipping point" in price parity with fossil-fuel models as early as 2024 in Europe, 2025 in China, 2026 in the U.S. and 2027 in India"for medium-sized cars, and even sooner for smaller vehicles."
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