Arizona: Contender Virginia: Pretender CBB_Central assesses the ceiling of the men’s college hoops top 10
Beyond the major questions surrounding its coach, there are on-court reasons to have doubts about Texas as a title contender. Its wins against Gonzaga and Creighton don’t look as good now as they did at the time, especially given both games were at home with huge crowds to celebrate the opening of a new arena, the Moody Center. Plus, Texas is a poor three-point shooting team . This group should be among the Big 12’s best, but I’m not sure it has a championship ceiling.
The biggest thing that could hold Tennessee back is its inability to create easy shots. Santiago Vescovi is one of the better guards in the SEC, but he’s best coming off pindowns as a catch-and-shoot guy rather than creating his own shot. Stylistically, he’s not the type of player who you turn to when things aren’t going well down the stretch of games. And while Zakai Zeigler is capable of consistently getting into the lane, he’s more pure passer than dynamic shot-maker.
The Tide play as fast as they ever have under Oats, but there’s a steadiness to this group that reminds me of their Herbert Jones–led SEC title team in 2020–21. Turnovers have been a problem, but has one of the better scorers in the country in sharpshooter Brandon Miller, high-level athleticism and versatility in the frontcourt and a deep stable of guards that will only get better as senior Jahvon Quinerly gets healthy.
Still, so much of winning in March comes down to having guards who can make plays for themselves, and has three of the best you’ll find in college basketball in Nick Smith Jr., Anthony Black and Ricky Council IV. All three are gifted isolation scorers while still being unselfish. Eric Musselman’s offense is one of the best in the country at attacking mismatches, and few if any teams have three perimeter defenders good enough to match up with that trio.
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