Analysis: The running game (and a few Kansas City flaws) could power the Eagles to a Super Bowl win.
Of course, the brilliance and audacity of Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts have much to do with the Chiefs and Eagles being the last two teams standing. Both are worthy MVP candidates, and either could take this game over with downfield passing. Yet I can’t help but wonder whether this Super Bowl will be played at a slower pace and with subdued scoring.
The Chiefs have allowed 56 passing touchdowns while defending 11 personnel the past two years — 12 more than any other team. They rank 25th in opponent passer rating against the package and 24th in opponent completion percentage . The Eagles have the NFL’s second-most rushes out of 11 personnel in the past two years, including the playoffs , but the Eagles rank fourth in yards per carry while the Bengals are 27th. Philadelphia has 36 rushing touchdowns out of this formation in that span, 12 more than the Bengals, who are second. The Chiefs’ defense ranks just 17th in yards per carry allowed against 11 personnel in that span , and, again, it hasn’t seen anything like the Eagles’ multifaceted running game.
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