Without another breakthrough, current drawbacks put fundamental limits on what AI can and cannot do
will add $16trn to the global economy by 2030. The total of all activity—from banks and biotech to shops and construction—in the world’s second-largest economy was just $13trn in 2018.’s claim is no outlier. Rival prognosticators at McKinsey put the figure at $13trn. Others go for qualitative drama, rather than quantitative. Sundar Pichai, Google’s boss, has described developments inas “more profound than fire or electricity”. Other forecasts see similarly large changes, but less happy ones.
Perhaps the highest-profile display of the technology’s potential came in 2016, when a system built by DeepMind, a London-basedfirm owned by Alphabet, Google’s corporate parent, beat one of the world’s best players at Go, an ancient Asian board game.
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