A 'tinderbox' with no easy off-ramps: What the Sudan conflict means for the world

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A 'tinderbox' with no easy off-ramps: What the Sudan conflict means for the world
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Escalating conflict in Sudan is likely to spill over into the wider region and rest of the world, analysts have suggested.

to provide a range of political and military assistance to Bashir in exchange for these concessions to that company, M Invest.

"Closer ties with Wagner, potentially involving the deployment of more Russian mercenaries alongside the RSF, risks Sudan's conflict becoming tied up in competition between western countries and Russia." He explained that relations between Khartoum and Gulf powers Saudi Arabia and the UAE thawed in the mid-2010s after a period of tension under Bashir. Ties were then deepened by the Rto the Saudi-led coalition fighting in Yemen.

"The RSF is likely to target oil infrastructure linking South Sudan with Khartoum and the export terminal at Port Sudan," Verisk Maplecroft's Hunter suggested. People evacuated from Sudan arrive at a military airport in Amman on April 24, 2023. - Foreign countries rushed to evacuate their nationals from Sudan as deadly fighting raged into a second week between forces loyal to two rival generals.Though South Sudan's relatively low output means impact to global oil markets will be limited, 90% of the country's economy is centered around oil exports.

"However, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has not yet provided any direct military support for the RSF and remains unlikely to do so because it would effectively pull Egypt and Ethiopia into a proxy conflict.

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