A deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia could dramatically reshape the Middle East.
Momentum – and divides
Saudi Arabia is home to Islam's holiest sites, Mecca and Medina, giving it a crucial role in the Muslim world where Palestinian statehood is deeply cared about. Israel's current government led by Benjamin Netanyahu has no intention of giving major concessions to the Palestinians; Netanyahu in early August
The United Nations classifies Israel as an occupier state over the Palestinian territories, whose occupations and annexations following the 1967 Six-Day War remain in violation of international law. Such demands will likely face resistance from many members of Congress, particularly progressive left-wing Democrats and hard-right Republicans who both want less American involvement in foreign affairs. But even if a security guarantee and more advanced weapons access demands are met, U.S. backing for a Saudi nuclear program is likely more challenging.
"If we see Riyadh climb down from those demands, then I think normalization becomes significantly more likely," said Ryan Bohl, senior Middle East and North Africa analyst at Rane.Importantly, time is running out to hash out a deal before the Biden administration is consumed by its re-election campaign.
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