Neither the US, nor regional powers like Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar or Turkey, can prevent a vicious escalation of the conflict between Israel and Hamas
Israelis in Ashkelon evacuate a site struck by a rocket fired from the Gaza Strip ”, since Deif never sleeps in the same place twice. A veteran bombmaker and organiser of suicide attacks in Israel, Deif has been the object of several retaliatory “targeted killings” in which he lost an eye, parts of an arm and leg, as well as one of his wives and two young children.
Hamas are both a governing and a resistance movement, in competition for Palestinian allegiances with the nearly 88-year-old Mahmoud Abbas, who presides over the corrupt Palestinian Authority. Like Hamas, the PA has long abandoned anything so quaint as elections. Both rule by murder and torture as well as consent.
Last week, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan opined that “the Middle East region is quieter today than it has been in two decades now” – though Sullivan added “for now”.is predictable and utterly symbolic, especially in a US election year. Trump’s wild claim that Biden had helped finance Hamas’s attacks by releasing $6bn of frozen Iranian funds to Qatar in a prisoner swap is
Faced with the prospect of the US extending security guarantees to Saudi Arabia , Iran has probably green-lit Hamas’s operation, for the likely draconian Israeli response in Gaza will make it very unwise for Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to commit to anything with Israel which will antagonise Saudi public opinion. His own father King Salman has been insistent that any agreement includes acknowledgement of Palestinian rights.
Sisi also does not want his regional enemies, Qatar or Turkey, to extend their influence inside Gaza. Sisi is also going to have to manage popular responses to any Israeli invasion of Gaza – that a policeman shot two Israeli tourists in Alexandria does not augur very well.Israel’s nightmare would be if Hezbollah goes beyond expressions of solidarity with Hamas and firing a handful of rockets at the contested Shebaa Farms area.
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