A crowded field is realDonaldTrump’s only hope of beating GovRonDeSantis, writes ConnCarroll
There seem to be two separate worlds when it comes to 2024 Republican primary polling. In one world, Gov. Ron DeSantis is up 56% to 33% over former President Donald Trump in Suffolk University’s poll and 47% to 42% in YouGov’s poll. In the other world, Trump is up 45% to 30% in Politico’s poll and 55% to 25% in Emerson College’s poll.If you dig down into some of these polls, the answer quickly becomes clear: When the choice is narrowed down to just the two men, DeSantis wins.
A similar story plays out in Harvard University’s latest poll, which also features a crowded field and head-to-head matchups. In a crowded field, Trump leads by 23 points, 48% to 25%. In a head-to-head matchup, Trump is only up 55% to 45%. Throw in an independent, and DeSantis takes a 52% to 48% lead in that head-to-head.
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