Sucker’s rally! Four months since the stock market began its recovery from last year’s carnage, skeptics are still piling on.
You’re so vain — you’re probably betting on a recession
PoD’s real tell is the “Yeah, but” objection. Yeah, inflation slowed again in January – but less than December. Disbelief is the first step of psychological denial and a form of grief. While the classic “wall of worry” is simple pessimism about the future, PoD goes a bit further – it’s an anchoring in the past and a form of what behavioralists call confirmation bias – an outright denial of manifest progress and better-than-expected results., I told you perfection isn’t necessary for rising stocks. They simply need reality to exceed pre-priced expectations. If bad news isn’t bad enough, stocks rise.
Remember 2009’s bottom and the ensuing double-dip talk, the fear of Alt-A mortgage defaults and muni bond wipeouts?
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