NFL odds, picks and predictions for San Francisco 49ers vs Pittsburgh Steelers. NFL Week 1 betting best bet and game analysis.
Steelers +7.5The Steelers closed out last season on a stretch that saw them allow 17 or fewer points in seven straight games that T.J. Watt played in. San Francisco’s offense also saw a drop-off of 5.6 points per game when on the road compared to at home.
I also like taking the Steelers outside of a touchdown here as I think their defense keeps this one close. Lopsided losses at home are rare for the Steelers as they’ve gone 15 straight games at home without a loss by more than seven points and have just two losses by more than seven points in their last 30 home games.
Pittsburgh was a home underdog in three games last season and went 1-1-1 ATS. As an underdog in general, they were a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games when getting points. Each of those spreads, like this one, was inside of three points. The 49ers went on an ATS tear in the second half last season that saw them go 9-2 ATS in the last 11 games including the playoffs. They were a rock-solid bet as a favorite all season, going 12-5 ATS.
This total is on the low end for good reason as low scores were the norm in Steelers games last season. They saw an average combined score of just 38.5 in their games with the number dipping down to 33.1 in their last six games.
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