In many ways, our current sports culture was shaped by passing through an era in which unsophisticated jocks with impatient plans to dominate via brute force were supplanted by Ivy League nerds with an eye toward the longview. That's how we got tanking, the consumer backlash to tanking and the realization that even the implementation of a draft lottery can't undo self-aware non-winning. That's why, increasingly, baseball operations executives seem like main characters with unique fandoms and also why they're forced to take responsibility for making baseball bad.
The game is in a weird place. We can’t stop measuring the impact of rules designed to put the outcomes back in the hands of athletes, rather than analysts. “Optimization” is a bad word often referenced in a list of modern afflictions, yet the teams that eschew it are punchlines to people in the know.
Last year, the New York Mets were enjoying a gloriously charmed season, on pace for 103 wins on the morning of the trade deadline — the most since they’d won the World Series in 1986 and the second-most in franchise history. After four straight years of the Atlanta Braves finishing first in the NL East, the Mets looked poised to take the division and kick off what would surely be a long and illustrious reign of dominance under new owner Steve Cohen.
For the Mets in particular, Cohen’s deep pockets were supposed to be able to fund short-term aggressiveness, allowing them to simultaneously build toward a better future without spending their prospect capital. It’s an approach that affords them a lot of leeway in the free-agent market. But the opportunity to build for October comes in-season, when you have to deal prospects to get back immediately impactful players.
The trade deadline binary of Buying or Selling elides the fact that both options involve an exchange of players from one organization to another. Everyone hopes to get what they need for a price they can stomach. The differentiator is when they need the deal to pay off.
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