The draft prep season is in full effect, with the NBA season less than two weeks away. At this point in the preseason, you're likely making a list of players to target or fade when it's your turn to draft.
Minnesota Timberwolves' center Rudy Gobert #27 blocks Dallas Mavericks' guard A.J. Lawson #9 during the NBA Preseason game Between the Dallas Mavericks and the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi on October 5, 2023. , with the NBA season less than two weeks away. At this point in the preseason, you're likely making a list of players to target or fade when it's your turn to draft.
Though he finished 59th in per-game value last year, he underperformed relative to his third-round ADP. Multiple factors contributed to Lopez's surprising surge in 2022-23. He came into last season ranked outside of the top 100 in expert consensus rankings and finished in the top 20 — that's wild. His high block rate was the most significant boost to his value, and sadly, I don't see that repeating.
So what happens when the blocks regress? He won't reach his ADP in the fifth round. Other analysts also remain skittish on Lopez, as his ECR is still 104.8, yet his ADP is 67.8. Last year was an outlier, and we'll likely see him perform to sixth or seventh-round value.A few things are working against Capela's fantasy stock at the moment. First, he averaged 26.6 minutes per game last season — marking the fourth consecutive year his minutes have gone down.
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