Statewide Democrats in red states are a dying breed. Can they learn anything from Andy Beshear and Brandon Presley?
Democratic governors in the South are a dying breed. Andy Beshear and Brandon Presley are trying to prove they haven’t gone extinct just yet.
“Politics is a matter of pendulum swings,” said Ronnie Musgrove, the last Democrat to serve as Mississippi governor, in the early-2000s. “And right now, when you got a gerrymandered legislature and when you got the major voices talking about culture wars to the exclusion of all the other things, then got a tailwind. However, over time, I think what this is going to show is that people want more than that.
And while neither state will be competitive in 2024, the races could offer early signs of the political environment, giving clues on everything from the saliency of abortion at the ballot box to which way swing suburban voters are leaning.Beshear is on the precipice of doing the seemingly impossible because he has managed to build an identity separate from the national party.
Cameron, however, is keeping the race close. He’s benefitted, in part, by not being Matt Bevin, the incredibly unpopular Republican incumbent who Beshear beat four years ago. Cameron first had to survive a messy primary against a self-funding billionaire and other local politicians.
Reeves’ path to victory is clear: Remind Mississippi voters how much they hate Biden, while pumping up wins in the state. “Jobs and education: That’s the mother’s milk of governor’s races and both metrics are at historically high levels,” said Brad Todd, an adviser to Reeves. Democrats in the state say that this system led to under-investment in outreach to Black voters. With it gone, Democrats are eager to see whether they can truly be competitive in this red-leaning state — which could lead to more investment in the future.
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