Republicans run a big risk with impeachment

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Republicans run a big risk with impeachment
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So far there's been no evidence that President Biden benefited financially from his son's business dealings. And as prior impeachments have shown, Republicans risk a backlash from perceived overreach.

On the one hand, it all could serve to muddy the waters and give former President Trump a talking point against President Biden, as his MAGA allies on Capitol Hill are hoping.

But there is also tremendous risk, arguably more risk, for Republicans, especially if people see the GOP as going too far. The GOP brand already isn't great with high unfavorable ratings, and impeachments can serve to benefit the president being charged or investigated because their base rallies around them.

That certainly was the case for Bill Clinton and Democrats in 1998 as impeachment seemed inevitable. Democrats picked up five House seats in the midterms that year, an unusual feat for a president's party. Clinton's approval rating jumped 9 points, all the way up to 73%, from before he was impeached to immediately after, according toNow, the months following did take a toll on Clinton. His approval dropped 20 points down to 53% before rebounding. Clinton left office with a remarkable 66% approval.

Former President Trump also benefited initially as well. His approval jumped 8 points after his first impeachment, from 40% to 48%.His myriad scandals and controversies meant his hyperpartisan approval reverted to the mean, and after Jan. 6 and his second impeachment, Trump left office with a 34% rating.Much of whether impeachment will matter depends on whether Americans believe an impeachment inquiry is valid.

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